Figures and Tables
Figures
0.1. The relative timing of negotiations across ninety-two interstate wars
1.1. Predicted negotiation behavior, conditional on environment
2.1. Negotiations in four wars
2.2. Average trajectory of negotiations
2.3. Five measures of the battlefield in World War I
3.1. Three states and four transitions of war
3.2. Coefficient plots for multistate models of negotiation in pre-1945 wars
3.3. Coefficient plots for multistate models of negotiation in post-1945 wars
3.4. Smoothed plots of propensity to negotiate over the course of wars
3.5. Hazard models of war termination
3.7. Coefficient plots for survival model of third-party diplomatic interventions in post-1945 wars
4.1. Coefficient plots for Poisson models of active battles with war fixed effects
4.2. Coefficient plots for OLS models of changes in battlefield outcomes after failed negotiations
4.3. Map of the Papal States in 1849
4.4. Map of the disputed Cenepa Valley area
5.1. Maps of changing control of Palestine
6.1. Map of the Korean peninsula
6.2. Gains and losses for the UNC over the course of the Korean War
6.3. UNC casualties and Communist POWs over the course of the Korean War
6.4. Smoothed negotiation behavior over the Korean War
6.5. Coefficient plots for logistic regressions concerning Korean War negotiation behavior
Tables
2.1. Frequency of negotiations across war-days
2.2. Results of wartime negotiations
2.3. Distribution of battle victories
3.1. Hazard ratios of transitions in wartime diplomacy
6.1. Examples of entries from UNC reports
6.2. Common UNC terms expressing gains, losses, and stasis
6.3. Distribution of sincere negotiation behavior by delegation and meeting level